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UFC 149 was a disaster, not just for the those in attendance, but also for those who entered picks last month. No one really covered themselves in glory on the confidence picks front. Dionicio Ortiz won the title with only 25 points, and Mark Sacchetti earned No 1 contender status with only 45 points. Enough of the negativity, onwards and upwards as they say. UFC 150 is an entirely different kettle of fish and I'm sure order will be restored with some big numbers.
As mentioned, Dionicio and Mark face off this weekend for the MMA Torch Confidence Picks Championship. Should either contender fail to submit picks, Matt Page will step up and so on, until we have a match up. For the rest of us who really need to do (so much) better, the top contestant will automatically be thrust into championship contention against Dionicio or Mark at UFC 151 (Jones vs. Henderson).
BETTING PICKS
If Clay Burley improves on his $9000+ haul at this event, i'll run naked into the Octagon during UFC on FUEL 5. In fact I hope Clay has an absolute stinker because he's up against me for the MMA Torch Betting Championship. Whoever wins between the two of us, will defend the title at UFC 151 against the best entrant from the betting pool. Should Clay fail to enter this weekend, then David Moxon will step up and so on, until we have a match up. Good luck Clay, you better bring your A game buddy.
All picks need to be submitted to dannymoore100@hotmail.com by 5PM ET/11PM BST on Saturday.
UFC 150 FIGHT CARD
Ben Henderson vs. Frankie Edgar
Donald Cerrone vs. Melvin Guillard
Jake Shields vs. Ed Herman
Yushin Okami vs. Buddy Roberts
Justin Lawrence vs. Max Holloway
Jared Hamman vs. Michael Kuiper
Dennis Bermudez vs. Tommy Hayden
Ken Stone vs. Erik Perez
Dustin Pague vs. Chico Camus
Nik Lentz vs. Eiji Mitsuoka
CONFIDENCE PICKS GAME AND RULES
1. UFC 150 is a 10 fight card. Therefore, the point values you assign must range from 10 (most confident) down to 1 (least confident).
2. Additionally, please list your prediction for method of victory, along with the round. Choose decision if you?re predicting a unanimous decision (UD), or split decision (SD).
3. Using UFC 148 as a template, here is how a simple entry might look:
11 - Anderson Silva - TKO2
10 - Forrest Griffin - UD
09 - Gleison Tibau - UD
08 - Demian Maia - SUB3
07 - Chad Mendes - UD
06 - Ivan Menjivar - UD
05 - Melvin Guillard - KO1
04 - Cung Le - TKO1
03 - Constantinos Philippou - TKO3
02 - Shane Roller - SUB1
01 - Rafaello Oliveira ? UD
4. When you email your entry, please sort the entry numerically (as shown) from high to low. Thanks.
5. The first tie-breaker is the sum of confidence points. Using the example above, an Anderson Silva victory would earn 11 points. Forrest Griffin winning would earn 10 points, etc.
6. If two participants earn the same number of confidence points, the next tie-breaker will be total number of winners predicted. If Player A earns 40 points on 7 winning picks, and if Player B earns 40 points on 6 winning picks, Player A would be declared the winner.
7. The next tie-breaker is the number of victory methods predicted correctly. Next would be predicted rounds of victory. If both players are still tied at this point, both players will be declared winner, and they will face off again, along with the winner of the pool (to be described later), at the next event in a three way dance.
BETTING GAME AND RULES
Here are the UFC 150 lines we?re using, courtesy of 5 Dimes:
Ben Henderson: -200
Frankie Edgar: -170
Donald Cerrone: -320
Melvin Guillard: +260
Jake Shields: -190
Ed Herman: +165
Yushin Okami: -600
Buddy Roberts: +450
Justin Lawrence: -110
Max Holloway: -110
Jared Hamman: -115
Michael Kuiper: -115
Nik Lentz: -350
Eiji Mitsuoka: +260
Dennis Bermudez: -280
Tommy Hayden: +220
Dustin Pague: -195
Chico Camus: +160
Ken Stone: -125
Erik Perez: +105
1. Using UFC 148 as a template again, here is how a simple entry might look:
$450 on Silva
$300 on Guillard
$50 on Tibau
$200 Parlay on Griffin, Menjivar and Roller
2. Every player has $1000 of fake, imaginary, theoretical, play money to wager on each event. This is not a real money game, it is strictly for fun.
3. Players must place a bet of at least $50, but not more than $500, on each of 3 or more different fighters. Bets may be in any denomination, as long as the amount falls in the range of $50 - $500.
4. Players may also place a parlay bet. A parlay bet is a bet placed on multiple fighters. All fighters in the parlay must win their fights in order for the parlay to pay off. Parlay bets pay off at a higher rate than a bet on a single fighter. The parlay bet may be placed on either 2 or on 3 fighters.
5. The minimum parlay bet is $50. The maximum parlay bet is $200. This money comes out of the $1000 allotted to each player. The parlay bet is not separate from the $1000 budget. A player is not required to play a parlay bet. The maximum number of parlay bets a player may wager is one.
6. Whether or not a player chooses to place a parlay bet, the player must still place at least three straight bets i.e: It is not legal to place two bets on individual fighters and one parlay bet. No entry is considered valid unless there are a minimum of 3 straight bets placed on individual fighters.
7. If a fight ends in a draw, any money bet on said fighter will be refunded, with no fake money commission taken. If a fighter in a 3-fighter parlay is involved in a draw, that fighter will be removed from the parlay and the 3-fighter parlay will be treated as a 2-fighter parlay. If a fighter in a 2-fighter parlay is involved in a draw, that fighter will be removed from the parlay and the 2-fighter parlay will be treated as a straight bet on the remaining fighter.
Instructions on how to read and utilize the betting lines
8. If a fighter has a positive number such as +150 next to his name, he is the underdog, which means a successful bet on that fighter will pay off at a higher rate. That means that if the fighter wins, the bet will payout $150 net profit for every $100 bet on him. If a player were to bet $500 on a +150 fighter, and the fighter wins, the player will profit $750. If a player bets $500 on a +150 fighter, and the fighter loses, the player will lose his $500 bet.
9. If a fighter has a negative number such as -200 next to his name, he is the favourite, which means a successful bet on that fighter will pay off at a lower rate. That means that if the fighter wins, the bet will payout $100 net profit for every $200 bet on him. If a player were to bet $500 on a -200 fighter, and the fighter wins, the player will profit $250. If a player bets $500 on a -200 fighter, and the fighter loses, the player will lose his $500 bet.
Structure for each game
10. For each UFC numbered event, both the Confidence Picks and Betting Game will feature a champion and a challenger facing off against one another. The winner of the head to head battle will be declared the reigning champion.
11. All other players for each UFC numbered event will compete against each other for the right to face off against the reigning champion at the next UFC numbered event. This is known as The Pool.
12. As games administrator, I have the subjective right to eliminate any entry for any reason I deem worthy.
13. Entries may be submitted via email (dannymoore100@hotmail.com), or on the comment section of this post. Email is the preferred method, because if a player posts an invalid entry, I have no way to make sure I can get hold of the player so that it may be corrected. Please, under no circumstances should you both email and post on the board your entry. One or the other please, preferably via email.
14. If you have any questions, please email me and ask.
Final Note
A player does not need to play both games during each event. Players may choose to submit an entry for one game or the other, or for both, at their own choosing.
Follow me on Twitter, @MMATorchDan
Source: http://www.mmatorch.com/artman2/publish/prediction_and_betting_contests/article_14078.shtml
Murilo Bustamante Grant Campbell Gesias JZ Calvancante Luiz Cane Dos Caras Jr
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